Investment project analysis — decisions based on numbers, not intuition

Investment project analysis — decisions based on numbers, not intuition

New production lines, IT products, network expansion, or entering foreign markets — every project requires capital and carries risks. Mistakes made at the evaluation stage are costly: overestimated CAPEX, overly optimistic sales, ignored currency and interest rate risks, underestimated tax and regulatory requirements. The result — zero NPV, failed IRR, cash gaps, and lost time. In cross-border projects, additional challenges arise from differences in regulations between Ukraine and the EU, as well as bank and investor requirements, local taxes, and compliance.

We evaluate investment projects “turnkey” in Ukraine and the EU: financial model, risks, scenarios, and financing structure — so you can make the right decision.
Why choose us:
Cross-border expertise.
We work with projects in Ukraine and the EU, bringing models and documentation in line with formats accepted by banks and investors in both jurisdictions.
Focus on manageability.
Our models aren’t made “for the shelf”: unified input assumptions, transparent formulas, scenario versions, and clear output reports.
Independent expertise.
We objectively assess optimistic assumptions, identify hidden risks, and propose compensators (contract terms, insurance, hedging).
Link to implementation.
We provide practical recommendations on procurement, CAPEX calendar, and budget control to ensure the numbers hold true in practice.
We turn an idea into a data-driven investment hypothesis.
Our team builds a transparent financial model, verifies assumptions, calculates NPV/IRR/Payback, tests sensitivity and scenarios, and prepares materials for investors and lenders. You receive a well-grounded go / no-go decision, and if it’s “go,” a structured financing and implementation plan. What’s included in our solution:
Financial model (Excel/BI) with detailed logic for revenues/expenses, CAPEX/OPEX, working capital, taxes, and depreciation.
Reports: P&L / Cash Flow / Balance Sheet, KPI dashboard (NPV, IRR, PI, Payback, DSCR) for management.
Assumption validation.
Market and pricing analysis, validation of volumes, pricing strategies, and sales cycles; benchmarks for margins, costs, and CAPEX.
Scenarios and sensitivity.
Base / conservative / optimistic cases; NPV/IRR sensitivity to key drivers (price, volume, FX rate, interest, CAPEX, taxes). Monte-Carlo modeling if needed.
Cost of capital and risk.
WACC calculation, FX and interest rate risk assessment, covenant stress-testing (DSCR/Net Debt/EBITDA), risk matrix and mitigation plan.
Financing structure.
Optimal equity/debt mix, tranche schedule, debt servicing terms, lender/investor requirements; preparation of investment memo and credit committee materials.
Tax and compliance.
VAT, customs, and local tax considerations, intra-group transfer pricing, alignment with Ukrainian and EU requirements.
Project plan.
Key milestones, CAPEX budget and calendar, procurement plan, and KPI for the first 100 days post-launch.
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Results and benefits for the owner and CFO
By working with us, you will see tangible results:
Clear go / no-go decision
based on NPV/IRR, stress tests, and risk assessment.
Capital savings
through optimized CAPEX/OPEX and financing terms.
Readiness for financing:
full package for bank/investor, calculated covenants, and assumption justification.
Transparency and control:
clear KPIs and “rules of the game” for tracking project performance post-launch.
Ready to take the next step?
Need an objective project assessment?
Request an express screening — we’ll prepare a data checklist and suggest the optimal analysis scope for your case.
Submit your request and we will prepare a solution for you.
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Questions and answers

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What’s the difference between a financial model and a budget?

A budget is a plan for an existing business; a project’s financial model describes a future asset, including assumptions, scenarios, and valuation.

How to determine if the project will pay off?

We compare NPV, IRR, and Payback against the company’s thresholds and conduct stress tests and sensitivity analysis.

How do you account for currency and interest rate risks?

We use FX and rate scenarios, apply hedging where needed, and maintain the required liquidity reserves.

Do you work with projects in the EU?

Yes. We align assumptions, taxes, and reporting with the standards expected by European banks and investors and adapt the structure to jurisdiction-specific requirements.

Investment project analysis is a systematic assessment of efficiency and risks before launching or financing an initiative.
The goal is to confirm the project’s economic feasibility and prepare it for presentation to owners, banks, and investors in Ukraine and the EU.

What the investment project assessment includes

  • Financial model with P&L, Cash Flow, and Balance Sheet reports, including calculations of NPV, IRR, Payback, Profitability Index, and key covenants (DSCR, Net Debt/EBITDA).
  • Assumption validation: prices/volumes, revenue structure, margins, CAPEX/OPEX, working capital requirements.
  • Scenario modeling and sensitivity analysis for key drivers (FX rate, interest rate, price, volume, CAPEX). Monte Carlo simulations if required.
  • WACC calculation and inclusion of cost of capital in cash flow discounting.
  • Financing structure (equity/debt): tranche schedule and assessment of the project’s debt service capacity.
  • Tax and compliance: accounting for VAT, local taxes, and regulatory requirements; process differences for Ukraine and the EU.
  • Investment memorandum (Teaser/Memo) and presentation materials for lenders / investors.

Data required at the start

Brief project description, target markets and pricing, expected sales volumes, CAPEX estimate and timeline, OPEX forecast, tax regime information, group structure, and funding sources. We provide a checklist and a template with all input data requirements.